20000103

A. Ali Sundrani

GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN

STATISTICS DIVISION

FEDERAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS

SUBJECT: SENSITIVE PRICE INDICATOR (SPI) FOR THE WEEK ENDED OCT. 30, 1999

The data regarding price movements for the week ended October 30, 1999 for 47 essential items in 12 major urban centres is given below:

2. The SPI, measured as a percentage change over corresponding week of last year, is (-) 0.12 percent.

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% Change over % Change during

SPI for SPI for -------------------------- last year week

week previous previous corresp. (Dec. 26, 98) as

Occupational ended week week i.e. week last compared to cor-

Group Oct. Oct. Oct. year i.e responding week

30, 99 23, 99 23, 99 Oct. 26, 98 (Oct. 31, 97)

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INDUSTRIAL 224.31 225.00 -0.31 0.08 7.11

COMMERCIAL 226.95 227.63 -0.30 0.67 7.25

GOVERNMENT 224.14 224.85 -0.32 0.13 6.71

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ALL CATEGORIES 224.30 225.00 -0.31 0.12 6.91

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3. The trend of weekly SPI during last 10 weeks as compared to the same period in the previous year is given below:

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Current Year Weeks Last Year Weeks

Week SPI % Change over Week SPI % Change over

ended --- --------------------- ended -------------------------

previous corresp. previous corresp.

week week week week

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30/10 226.75 -0.17 0.92 28/10 224.68 0.84 7.36

06/11 227.23 0.21 0.74 04/11 225.55 0.39 7.54

13/11 227.91 0.30 0.50 11/11 226.78 0.55 8.06

20/11 228.29 0.17 0.83 18/11 226.42 -0.16 7.67

27/11 228.01 -0.12 0.76 25/11 226.30 -0.05 7.52

04/12 226.99 -0.45 0.57 02/12 225.70 -0.27 7.26

11/12 226.73 -0.11 0.10 09/12 226.50 0.35 7.71

16/12 225.53 -0.53 -0.12 14/12 225.79 -0.31 7.28

23/12 225.00 -0.24 -0.16 19/12 225.35 -0.19 7.34

30/12 224.30 -0.31 -0.12 26/12 224.58 -0.34 6.91

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4. The cumulative comparative % changes for the current and the previous years in respect of Sensitive Price Indicator and Kitchen Items Index since 1st week of July are as under:-

1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000

Sensitive Price Indicator 2.15 2.76 -1.02

Kitchen Items Index 2.38 3.06 -2.37

i. Average prices of the following 13 items registered DECREASE.

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Item Unit Prices in Rs on week ended % Change

---------------------------------- over

23.12.99 30.12.99 Prev. week

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Tomatoes Kg. 18.36 16.20 11.8

Potatoes Kg. 7.66 7.02 8.4

Onions Kg. 5.64 5.48 2.8

Bananas Doz. 20.59 20.12 2.3

Wheat Kg. 8.52 8.41 1.3

Curd Kg. 21.49 21.24 1.2

Moong pulse Kg. 28.26 27.94 1.1

Veg. ghee (loose) Kg. 48.78 48.45 0.7

Milk fresh Ltr. 17.71 17.62 0.5

Wheat flour Kg. 9.00 8.98 0.2

Mustard oil Kg. 60.27 60.19 0.1

Masoor pulse Kg. 35.63 35.59 0.1

Mash pulse Kg. 36.35 36.31 0.1

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ii. Average prices of the following 7 items registered INCREASE.

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Item Unit Prices in Rs on week ended % Change

-------------------------------- over

23.12.99 30.12.99 Prev. week

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Chicken farm Kg. 46.31 50.27 8.6

Eggs Doz. 24.63 25.21 2.4

Salt powdered Kg. 3.33 3.38 1.5

Garlic Kg. 35.05 35.27 0.6

Firewood 40 Kg. 99.27 99.69 0.4

Sugar Kg 18.60 18.65 0.3

Gram pulse Kg. 24.34 24.40 0.3

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iii Average prices of the following 27 items remained UNCHANGED.

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Rice basmati (Broken) Red chillies Shirting

Rice irri-6 Tea Sandal Peshawari (Bata

Beef with bone Tea prepared Sandal ladies (Bata)

Mutton Cooked beef (Plate) Chappal spounge (Bata)

Bread plain Cooked dal (Plate) Kerosen

Gur Cigarettes (K-2) Elect. bulb. (60-Watt)

Milk powdered (Nido) Coarse latha Match box

Veg. ghee (tin) Lawn Washing soap

Cooking oil (Habib) Voil Bath soap (Lifebuoy)

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6. Prices of 47 SPI items in 12 major urban centres are given at Annex-I and 18 Ramazan items in 6 big cities as Annex - II.

7. Monthly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 1990-91.

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Percentage Change over

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Period SPI Previous month/period Corresponding month

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1997-98 210.28 7.35 of last year, 96-97

JULY 206.09 0.15 11.88

AUGUST 206.38 0.14 10.95

SEPTEMBER 207.38 0.48 9.92

OCTOBER 208.12 0.36 9.23

NOVEMBER 210.08 0.94 8.68

DECEMBER 210.25 0.08 7.92

JANUARY 209.74 -0.24 6.07

FEBRUARY 210.37 0.30 4.94

MARCH 211.44 0.51 6.93

APRIL 212.90 0.69 3.75

MAY 213.18 0.13 3.40

JUNE 217.46 2.01 5.68

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1998-99 223.82 6.44 of last year, 97-98

JULY 219.44 0.91 6.48

AUGUST 222.42 1.36 7.77

SEPTEMBER 221.33 -0.49 6.73

OCTOBER 222.64 0.59 6.98

NOVEMBER 226.26 1.63 7.70

DECEMBER 225.56 -0.31 7.28

JANUARY 223.81 -0.78 6.71

FEBRUARY 225.03 0.55 6.97

MARCH 224.46 -0.25 6.16

APRIL 223.44 -0.45 4.95

MAY 225.07 0.73 5.58

JUNE 226.36 0.57 4.09

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Percentage Change over

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Period SPI Previous month/period Corresponding month

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1999-2000 of last year, 98-99

JULY 227.11 0.33 3.50

AUGUST 228.22 0.49 2.61

SEPTEMBER 228.59 0.16 3.28

OCTOBER 227.57 -0.45 2.21

NOVEMBER 227.87 0.13 0.71

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8. Quarterly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 1990-91.

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Percentage Change over

------------------------------------------------

Period SPI Previous Corresponding

quarter quarter

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1997-98 of last year, 96-97

1st Quarter (Jul-Sep) 206.62 0.44 10.91

2nd Quarter (Oct-Dec) 209.48 1.38 8.60

3rd Quarter (Jan-Mar) 210.52 0.50 5.98

4th Quarter (Apr-Jun) 214.51 1.90 4.28

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1998-99 of last year, 97-98

1st Quarter (Jul-Sep) 221.06 3.05 6.99

2nd Quarter (Oct-Dec) 224.82 1.70 7.32

3rd Quarter (Jan-Mar) 224.43 -0.17 6.61

4th Quarter (Apr-Jun) 224.96 0.23 4.87

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1999-2000 of last year, 98-99

1st Quarter (Jul-Sep) 227.97 1.34 3.13

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9. Half yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 1990-91.

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% Change over % Change over

Period SPI previous half corresponding half

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1996-97 of last year, 95-96

1st Half (Jul-Dec) 189.59 7.00 10.75

2nd Half (Jan-Jun) 202.18 6.64 14.10

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1997-98 of last year, 96-97

1st Half (Jul-Dec) 208.05 2.90 9.74

2nd Half (Jan-Jun) 212.52 2.15 5.11

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1998-99 of last year, 97-98

1st Half (Jul-Dec) 222.94 4.90 7.16

2nd Half (Jan-Jun) 224.70 0.79 5.73

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10. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and wholesale Price Index (WPI) for November, 99 with base 1990-91.

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1999 1998

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Index % Change % Change Index % Change % Change

during during over last during during over last

Index the Nov, 99 year's corr. the Nov, 98 year's corr.

Type month over month month over month

of Oct, 99 Nov, 99/ of Oct, 98 Nov, 98

Nov, 99 Nov, 98 Nov, 98 Nov, 97

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CPI 222.99 0.09 3.39 215.68 0.48 6.23

WPI 226.69 -1.44 0.21 226.21 0.79 7.00

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11. A review of current prices of cement collected for the week ended on 30.12.1999 indicates a increase of 0.06% over the previous week and a decrease of 4.99% as compared to the corresponding week of last year (Annex-II).

12. Submitted for information please.

Encl. (2)

(DR. N. M. LARIK)

DIRECTOR GENERAL

U.O. NO. FBS. PS. SPI (1)/99 DATED: 01-01-2000